Wednesday, February 26, 2020

Calmer days until....

The weather (in typical Kansas fashion) has been really whacky lately. Big rainfall from the late weekend storm, some thunder, a huge amount of snow Tuesday in spots... must be getting close to spring.

How did we miss that 6-12" of snow that fell Tuesday? I addressed this on the air yesterday evening and it really comes down to a very narrow band of snow (only about 15 miles wide) that just didn't move once it started snowing. Our computer models do a really good job and when a storm is less than 24 hours away, we have a good handle on it. But something that small is extremely difficult for the models to get a handle on. A day will come when we will have the technology to pin point those small features, but it's not there now.

3rd wettest start to the year: I don't have all the data for other locations in Kansas, but Wichita is currently experiencing one of the wettest starts to the year on record. There are two other years ahead of us right now, 2005 and 2001.

Thursday - this will be sprinkles at best. Whatever we get will hardly be measurable during the afternoon or evening.

Weekend looks pretty good - heading back toward to the 60s by Saturday and Sunday. This puts us WELL above the normal of low 50s for late February and early March.
Great news for those who need to dry out -  again, we are seeing some signs of a temporary shift in the setup. It's not 100% raindrop free, but there's much less rain in our forecast over the 10 days.

System coming early next week - this has some potential to produce a little bit of rain or snow, but in the last couple of days, computer models are shoving more and more of the rain chances to the east. I'm expect Missouri, eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and Illinois to catch the brunt of the storm as it moves on through the Plains. Our precipitation in Kansas would be extremely light at best.



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