Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Another system coming later this week

Rainfall amounts ending at 7a.m. Tuesday:


One system moves away from us today (Tuesday) and another one is on the horizon for the end of the week. This is a system coming straight from California and will likely bring some more rain to the Plains states by Friday. 

Unfortunately, it's a disorganized system, so unless something dramatically changes in the data, its probably NOT going to be a big rain maker (and it will be MUCH too warm for snow). When we say "disorganized", that means the energy associated with the system is spread over thousands of miles and tends to make it weaker overall. 

Our first week of November has been quite mild and overall, that's probably not going to change much in the next few weeks. We will have some chilly mornings, but afternoon highs should stay at or above normal leading right up to Thanksgiving week.

It is going to flip soon, but I'm thinking it may not come until right AFTER Thanksgiving. Just look at the outlook for Thanksgiving week - suggesting much of the Plains will have a temperature average of 4-7° (likely yielding highs in the 60s)

Atlantic hurricane season record:

The National Hurricane Center named another storm yesterday evening. Substropical storm "Theta" is about 1000 miles east of the Azores. You can see in the map below it's in the middle of nowhere, but it does set the record for most named storms in the Atlantic season. It beat 2005 (when there were 28 named storms that year - including Katrina), and we still have a few weeks to go in the overall season. I wouldn't be surprised if we have yet another system coming up through the Caribbean. It will get the name "Iota" if it does develop. Stay tuned. What a crazy year.

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