Thursday, September 23, 2021

Here's the scoop on rain for Kansas

We are essentially in a holding pattern right now when it comes to rain. Aside from some of the soaking moisture at the beginning of the month, there hasn't been much to speak of since then (at least on a statewide scale).

As of this writing (Thursday), much of the state has gone at least a week without any measurable moisture. That's not unusual, but with much of the state already below normal on rain for the year and dealing with drought, it would be helpful to have some rain in the near future.

It looks like by the time rain moves back to the Plains, we will have had one of the longest dry stretches throughout all of 2021. The map shown below is rain (compared to normal) for the last 14 days. The yellow colors indicate 1-2" below, while the west is mainly .50-1" below.


Latest drought map (released Thursday) looks like this:

A couple of notes about what we are seeing for next week. There's a weak system that will track toward Kansas around the middle of the week. If the forecast holds, that low pressure system could reach the Plains and wobble around for a few days, producing scattered rains. It's early to predict exact locations and how much, but the recent trends in the models suggest increasing chances later in the week. We should also see things cool a bit by then too. 

The map posted is just one snapshot in time for Wednesday. You can see the showers stretch from Texas into the central and northern US. A cloudy/damp period may unfold for Kansas if we can get these features to setup in the right areas. Until then, it's sunny and dry.

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