Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Rainy setup - unsettled for days

As we wrap up an unbelievably warm month of September across the state, our focus is shifting to a more eventful and cooler stretch coming up. Much of the state will likely end up with a top 10 warmest Septembers on record. 

Wichita:

Dodge City:

Rain is coming: Cold front arrives Wednesday night should lead to the most widespread rain since the beginning of the month. Rain gets going first in western Kansas before heading east Thursday morning. This stuff will be incredibly slow to move along. I think western Kansas should be expecting .25"-.50" Wednesday night (some isolated areas may get a bit more).


Thursday - Saturday: The focus for rain will be central and eastern Kansas Thursday afternoon and Friday. 

I don't think the rain on Friday will amount to very much, if we get much at all. However, look at the rain back in Oklahoma and Texas (near Amarillo). As soon as the main "low" from New Mexico kicks out going into Saturday, we should have another nice round of rain coming across the region.

Forecast rain amounts from Wednesday - Saturday:

Average rainfall in October isn't usually more than a few inches at best, but we may be looking at more rain in the first and second weeks of the upcoming month. The jet stream looks to stay fairly active for awhile. The map below reflects that with above normal rain (for the 7 day period) across the Plains.


Have a great day and get ready for some rain. 

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