Friday, November 16, 2018

More early season, heavy snows

This has just been an incredible fall so far, not just in Kansas but in many areas around the country. We just finished up an almost 2 week stretch of colder than normal temperatures. That was helped out, of course, by snow early Monday.

Well look who was also blasted by heavy, wet snow. A big time Nor'Easter dumped over 6" of snow on many areas, including New York and just outside of D.C. The storm is wrapping up and about to move out of the US. But for mid-November, this is even early for those areas to get dumped on.

Lower Manhattan - New York

Our winter forecast comes out Sunday night at 10 p.m. It's a bunch of work, digging through old stats and looking at all of the new data. However, it's one of the things I enjoy most about my job. I really enjoy making these long range predictions and seeing how they turn out.

Weekend snow chance:
This system will be nothing like the snow maker we saw back at the beginning of the week. It's much weaker and very starved of moisture. So as the cold air takes over this weekend, we don't have to worry about getting buried in snow.

Highest chances for some light snow or flurries will be along and north of I-70. About 97% Kansas won't get any measurable snow, but northwest Kansas has the best chance of maybe getting an inch.

This will also be our last cold blast for awhile as mild weather settles in for our Thanksgiving week. We said back at the beginning of the month that warmer weather would be here before Thanksgiving and it's arriving on time.

The next thing we are carefully watching is a return to stormy and colder weather at the beginning of December. There's a possibility the snow machine will be starting back up for our area, but of course details are unknown this far out. So after we get through Thanksgiving, we will have to start watching the storm track once again.

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