Friday, November 23, 2018

Winter storm update

Hope you had a terrific Thanksgiving and didn't overdo it too much on the food. Sometimes, it's hard to put the fork down.

Here's the very latest on the storm arriving Sunday. The active weather on the west coast is what will be moving into the Rockies by Saturday, and then on the Plains by the time we wake up Sunday.

What time will it start?
We are thinking a rain snow mix for northwest Kansas after midnight Saturday night, but within hours, it should transition to all snow. It won't take long for this to spread down I-70 and certainly by 7 a.m. Sunday, we have snow covering much of central and northern Kansas.


By Sunday early afternoon, the snow will be accelerating to the east. This is a fast moving storm, so snow will be in south central Kansas by late morning and into eastern Kansas by 1 or 2 p.m.

How much snow and how confident are we?
The last few days, the computer models have been very consistent on where the heaviest will likely go. If anything, we've seen a slight increase in the possible amounts. But I'm still favoring central and northern Kansas to get the most, which will likely be some 2-4" amounts (perhaps locally higher in a few spots), but given the fact the storm is moving fast, that should keep us from major snowfall.

How bad will the conditions be?
The wind isn't going to do us any favors here. Gusts will likely be over 30 mph, which creates concern for blowing snow and drifting too. There will be at least a few hours Sunday morning where visibility isn't going to be any good, but conditions will rapidly improve once we get into the afternoon.

Please have a safe weekend especially if getting out on the highways.

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