Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Hottest week for the rest of summer?

Just beyond the half way point of July and this could very well be the hottest week so far this summer AND likely the rest of summer. It feels weird saying that, but in watching the longer range computer models, all of them have been hinting at cooler weather to finish off July and start August.

Chances of getting to 100°: High
Given the setup, we should be able to hit the century mark this week. The heat dome will slide across Oklahoma and southeast Kansas mid-late week. According to the averages, this is the hottest time of the year and it shouldn't be a huge surprise that we are looking at such hot weather. The average 1st 100 for most areas is in the beginning of July. 

Changes next week:
The high pressure system should shift back to the west and allow for the cooler air to slip out of the northern Plains. Even better, it looks like this might be something that will be around for more than just one day. 

Rain chances: They end up somewhere between slim and none for the remainder of this week, but since the front coming Sunday evening/Monday is quite strong, we will stand a chance for storms either late weekend or the beginning of next week.


Early look into August:
It's not very clear yet if August will have above normal rainfall or not, but over the last few weeks, the early signals on temperatures point toward slightly cooler than one might expect. Given what "normal" is in August, I'm expecting a month with mostly 80s and lower 90s. We certainly aren't going to have a month of fall temperatures, but I also wanted you to know we aren't going to be baking in continuous 100 degree weather either. As soon as we can find some clarity on what might happen with precipitation, I'll pass it along.

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