Tuesday, July 9, 2019

Could tropical weather impact Kansas?

Kansas weather is about to enter what I might call "auto pilot" stage. Thunderstorm chances drop off while temperatures change just a little bit each and every day. We should have a stretch of rather uneventful weather across the Plains. One thing you'll notice by Thursday is that the humidity will drop down as the temperatures come down just a bit.

An expanding area of high pressure will show up across the Plains and that should lead to several sunny and quiet days. This high pressure will likely be around through the weekend.

Could a tropical system impact Kansas soon? Well, let's take a look. Forecast models are suggesting a low pressure will develop over the Gulf of Mexico later this week. If this system develops, look where it will be over the weekend.



It could drift west and impact Texas with potential heavy rainfall and maybe some flooding. However, will the leftover system keeping moving west or will it turn to the northwest? That's what we won't know until we know if there will even be a storm. One computer model has the system moving into Kansas next week, which would likely lead to rain chances and cooler temperatures.

If the system tracks farther west into Texas, it might lessen the impact for Kansas. But there's so much uncertainty this many days out, especially when the storm isn't even a reality right now.

Clear skies = good star/planet watching:
Jupiter is still very visible in the south/southeast and will team up with the full moon this weekend.


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