Monday, September 16, 2019

Summer heat holds on but signs of a change

Hope you had a great weekend. The state fair is over and I had a wonderful opportunity to visit with some of you. Sounds like there are mixed feelings about the heat in September. Many of you are ready for fall, but for fall harvest, the sun and heat seem to be helping things along.

Check this out:
 We've had enough hot weather that if the month ended today, it would be the hottest September on record in south central Kansas (and likely many other areas too). I know we still have a few weeks left in the month and temperatures are going to change later this week, but this is just ridiculous (not unheard of) in September. When you add in the heat that we see today - Wednesday, we will push that average even higher.

We are not alone in the heat!
Just look at the 90s going all the way into North Dakota! And when that happens in mid-September, there are bound to be records that far north. It's unlikely that we will have record high temperatures in Kansas at any point this week, but we are easily 10° warmer than normal.

Signs of a change:
We can see the cool pocket of air coming through the Northwest and it should continue to move our way. However, the COOLEST part of that air will likely reside just north, so yes we will cool down late week, but we are not heading for a frost anytime soon. (sorry if you were hoping that was a week away)

Tropical moisture could be moving our way:

There is a healthy batch of storms in the Gulf of Mexico on this Monday. While it is highly UNLIKELY to turn into a tropical storm or hurricane, that area of heavy rainfall crashes into Texas by Tuesday/Wednesday, and the leftover tropical moisture should move north. As it encounters the cooler air (mentioned above), we could be setup for some heavy rainfall by Friday night/Saturday in parts of the state. Exact timing is not very clear at the moment, but we will stay focused on that moving through the week.

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