Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Changes to our rain chances - when will it get here

We've had very little fall weather to enjoy this month of September and it's starting to drive some of you crazy (or is it just me). In fact, look at this for the month of September. We've had almost as many 90° high temperatures this month as we had in all of August. And the count won't stop at 13.

September as a whole:

For most of the Plains, it's been rather warm, with the only cooler than normal weather focused across the Great Lakes and the far New England states.

Heavy rain potential from Imelda?
It is something that is not off the table yet. That moisture continues moving north and while the system will be dead before it leaves Texas, the leftover moisture in the air will keep pushing north. So if we can squeeze that out of the atmosphere, some places could be dumped on over the weekend. This approaching cold front IS DELAYED! It's now NOT likely to get into Kansas until Saturday afternoon or Sunday.

Here's how the forecast will be different:
1) Storms are not as likely for Friday evening - a few may develop in parts of western KS

2) Front doesn't reach KS now until Saturday afternoon, which means we will likely have another very warm day (highs 85-90°)

3) Potential of heavier rains hold off until late Saturday night (central & northeast KS) and will again be possible on Sunday over south central and eastern KS

I am expecting it to NOT be as hot this weekend (as we've advertised this week so far) but for most of the state, relief may not be felt until the second half of the weekend. So timing AND impacts have been adjusted because the front is going to be slower coming in.

Who's ready for fall?
Well some areas of the country are getting there fast! How about frost and freeze warnings out for the northeast. It's going to be SEVERAL weeks before we even come close here in the Plains.

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