Wednesday, September 4, 2019

Tropical focus & rainfall thoughts

Hope everyone had a great Labor Day weekend. We continue to watch Dorian going up the east coast with so much wind, high surf, and flooding rainfall. It's not uncommon for a storm like Dorian to stall as it did over the Bahamas. When hurricanes get pinched between a high and low pressure, the steering winds can be so light that there's nothing to move it around. But now that we have an approaching low pressure in the upper Midwest, that should help to shove the system on to the northeast. Up until recently, Dorian was moving back to the west because of the large high pressure over the open Atlantic.

Another tropical storm:
There is another tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico, but it dies out later this week in Mexico and is NOT expected to be an influence on Kansas weather.

Where is fall weather?
You might be looking for some cooler weather this time of year, but right now, it's locked up in the Northeast and across the Great Lakes region. It's not going to move south for awhile, so you'll have to settle for 80s as being "cool" for right now. Forecast models hold the warmer weather over the Plains for now. And high pressure is keeping most of the rain away from Kansas for the time being. Even much of next week will likely have near to above normal temperatures.

Rainfall for the remainder of the week and this weekend:
Not looking good if you need moisture. Some areas in western Kansas would probably appreciate some rain. Chances are very slim between now and the end of the weekend. A few storms look possible Saturday night across far western Kansas (and some near the Nebraska state line), but overall, it's tough to get excited about moisture in the next 4-6 days.


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