An active weather pattern will keep us on guard down the stretch and right into Christmas week. The weekend storm still has potential of producing some nice snowfall across mainly southern Kansas. Computer models in recent days have really come around to the idea of 2-4 inches for southwest and parts of south central Kansas, but there will be a few isolated spots that might get just a bit more. Northern Oklahoma may get the most with a few 6 inch amounts.
What comes next week? Looks like another snow chance Tuesday, but most likely NOT a major winter system here either. This will be another fast moving storm that offers up chances for snow, but given the lack of bitter cold, whatever we get will likely be melting soon after late in the week.
Chances of a White Christmas in any given year for Kansas are usually around 10%. So, the odds are definitely not in our favor to have snow on the ground (or falling) on Christmas Day. In search of the last time we had snow for Christmas? It was just three years ago in Goodland, but the last one for Wichita was 2013.
Next few weeks: The pattern continues to look very active, so I would say of any recent year, we still have a pretty good chance of something happening. Bitter cold temperatures are NOT looking to arrive in time for the holiday, so our snow will have to fall either Christmas Eve or Christmas Day, or we run the risk of it melting too soon. The temperature map shown below shows above average temperatures for Christmas week.
The pattern should favor more low pressure systems tracking in from the Rockies, and there could be a couple of storms to watch just before Christmas.
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