Thursday, November 17, 2022

A very different pattern is coming up - Thanksgiving and beyond

This has been quite a stretch of cold weather - not just in Kansas but most of the country. The warm weather we had back at the beginning of the month is finally being offset by this latest cold blast. 

From the Great Plains to the west, much of the country has had near to below normal temperatures. The eastern half of the country has had some cold weather too, but not enough to wipe out the warmth from the beginning of the month.

And it's not over until we get beyond Saturday, which is when the upper-level winds begin to shift and carry the coldest air on to the northeast. 


Here's how things will look by Sunday afternoon:

Thanksgiving Week Preview:
Much of the country will have milder weather in the upcoming, holiday week. This will lower the risk of running into icy or snow roads but doesn't entirely eliminate the risk. The week will start off rather quiet for most of the country. However, we do expect a midweek system to setup in the central Plains. Here's what new data out this morning looks like for Wednesday:

Given latest trends, I think heavier rainfall will happen south and east of Kansas, and if you are flying through Dallas, there's a risk of flight delays given potential of thunderstorms. Other major airport hubs should be fine.

Thanksgiving Day travel won't be too bad, but again, wet weather is a strong possibility for areas east and southeast of Kansas. Given the overall lack of cold air, this is all likely rain - no ice or snow.

East coast looks good, but areas to the north (including Pacific Northwest) may have messy weather with rain and snow. 

After Thanksgiving - big time warm up coming?

We could very well see a large high pressure develop across the midsection of the country. If this comes through, there's a good chance we will see a return to 60s and maybe some 70° weather post-Thanksgiving. I know we need more rain, but the outlook for the next two weeks is not overly optimistic for our immediate area. 


Thanks for coming by for a few minutes.

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