Everything is changing fast as cold air takes over, not just for parts of the US, but much of the country is going to be below normal on temperatures in the coming days. The last time we had a November that ended up colder than average was in 2019. Here's the snapshot for early next week:
We also have to watch for an early season winter system to come through the area Monday/Tuesday. Already on Facebook and Twitter, some weather enthusiasts are posting forecast snow amounts. Please be extra cautious with the social shares because it leads to confusion and sometimes, unnecessary panic or hype. Winter systems are tricky and specific details will reveal themselves to us when we are about 36-48 hours out. This image below is a regional view, and what I'd take away from it is that there appears to be a connection to the Gulf of Mexico. When we see that, precipitation tends to be more widespread and a bit heavier, but again, track is key.
I don't expect it to be a big winter system, but there's potential to leave behind some snow cover. I have no idea if school will be called off, but at this junction in time, I'd say probably not. It's just not that big of a system for Kansas. Right now, forecast amounts for snow are quite low (less than a few inches), but we will spend the weekend monitoring the trends.
Certainty is high that the next few weeks will be cold, but I think the setup will probably favor drier than average conditions. Aside from the system Monday/Tuesday, I doubt we will see much moisture through Thanksgiving. That being said, what we lack in moisture just might be made up for in the colder air.
Have a wonderful day.
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