Friday, November 4, 2022

More active weather on the horizon - and will we see the lunar eclipse?

A big low-pressure system with rain, thunder, and snow pushes on to the east but not before leaving behind some great rainfall in several locations. This will deliver a nice punch to the drought, but more rain is still needed, and it needs to catch western Kansas. 

There are two features of interest next week. First, another large low pressure will cut into the western US with widespread rain/snow opportunities. We are looking at 15,000-20,000 feet above the Earth's surface and the huge dip in the jet stream (or weather pattern as we sometimes call it) will be the feature of interest. 

Ahead of it, we will once again pump the warm AND humid air into the Plains. Look at the dew point temperatures (measure of how much moisture is in the air) and those numbers surging above 60 is a good sign. Notice how the higher humidity goes all the way to the Dakotas. 

We should be setup for some light rain or drizzle on Election Day - this is not going to be a big rain scenario, but it will be damp and rainfall expectations will likely be set at less than .25" - let's see if that holds up with more data in the coming days. It's doesn't appear to be anything significant. 


Meanwhile, later in the week (focusing Thursday-Friday), another setup will likely feature a cold front/low pressure system coming out of the Rockies that may yield some rain, thunder, and snow. Confidence is LOW here - so hang with us as we figure it all out. There's a possibility of some decent precipitation, but as you'll hear us say over and over, it comes down to TRACK. And that's not certain this far out. 


Last lunar eclipse until 2025:

We might not have the best seat in the house for this one. Low clouds could be very problematic, but western Kansas may have some breaks in the overcast. I'm just not sure we will luck out this time given the setup into Tuesday morning. The next total lunar eclipse won't come until 2025, so we're going to be waiting awhile for the opportunity to return. At any rate, here are the times to look - best if you are an early riser. This one will peak between 4:16 and 5:41AM.




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