Wednesday, May 6, 2015

24 Hour Rainfall, severe weather is likely soon, & how much more rain?

We've made it to Wednesday and after a brief break from severe storms, the chance will return for some later today. Widespread severe storms are unlikely, but some quarter size hail and wind gusts to 60 mph look possible over central and northern Kansas. Storms will likely move east or northeast shortly after they develop around 4 or 5 p.m.

Much of the state will likely have some dry weather heading into Wednesday night as we end up between storm systems.

The next feature we watch is a cold front that will stall from southwest into central and eastern Kansas for Thursday evening. This will provide the focus for some pockets of more heavy rainfall (good news for some but probably too much for others)

The stalled front will likely sag a little more to the south for Friday, but the potential for heavy rainfall should continue over at least the southern part of Kansas into the night.

Saturday is shaping up to be a stormy day across most of Kansas. Storms will develop in western Kansas after 2 or 3 p.m. and then begin the journey east. Hail, wind, even a few tornadoes will be possible in the setup for Saturday afternoon. In addition, heavy rainfa
ll will accompany most of the storms, which will cause more concerns for flooded roads and low lying areas. You can see, the forecast models between now and early Sunday show how widespread the heavy rain will be. Remember, if you come to a flooded road, turn around and find a different route.

Rainfall totals ending at 7 a.m.:
21st & 159th East (Wichita): 2"
Jabara Airport: 1.63"
Winfield: 1.56"
Eisenhower National: 1.28"
Newton: 1.14"
Liberal: 1.09"
Topeka: 0.64"
Garden City: 0.58"
Medicine Lodge: 0.53"
Goodland: 0.50"
McPherson: 0.48"
Elkhart: 0.45"
Hutch: 0.38"
Dodge City: 0.37"
Pratt: 0.30"
Salina: 0.25"
Smith Center: 0.12"
Concordia: 0.09"
Russell: 0.06"

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