Monday, September 15, 2014

Could Hurricane Odile impact Kansas

Hope everyone had a nice weekend. Fall weather was definitely in the air, but this week does warm up some and should feel more like September (instead of November weather like we had on Friday)

A cold front today will settle south of Kansas heading into the evening/overnight hours. The chance for storms is very slight, and I think you'll have to be south of Wichita and along the Kansas/Oklahoma state line to even see any rain at all. Temperatures will be cooling down into the 40s and 50s for tonight.

The weather pattern this week looks very different across the central Plains. The winds in the upper atmosphere are coming from the northwest, and just the slightest ripple in the atmosphere can set off storms. So forecasting rain in this type of setup is difficult, but some of you could see a few storms Tuesday night and Wednesday night. I wouldn't expect it to be all that heavy OR widespread.

Hurricane Odile is working it's way toward Baja California and will continue moving northeast in the coming days. It's a very strong category 2 hurricane (as of Monday morning), but remember with tropical systems, once they start interacting with land and you remove the warm, ocean water, they begin to weaken. What is interesting here is that more heavy, flooding rainfall is likely in the Southwest across Arizona and New Mexico during the middle of the week, and eventually, Odile's moisture could reach Kansas by Friday or Saturday. That will be something to keep a watch on this week. If the moisture does reach our area, we could see some pockets of heavy rainfall. Good news for some!

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