Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Wednesday severe threat continues

We continue to look at the possibility of severe weather on Wednesday. One of the downsides of social media is that while scrolling through your news feed, you are going to see all kinds of predictions. Some of them will probably scare the heck out of you. Be sure to check the source of any weather information that you consume. I've tried to highlight where I think the highest chance will be for hail, high winds, and tornadoes in the graphic below (click it for a larger image)

There could be a few isolated storms Tuesday night southeast of the Kansas Turnpike, and while a few could produce some hail and wind, the heavier storms will come Wednesday afternoon.

What kinds of things are we looking for in the setup Wednesday?
1) Where is the highest humidity (dew points)
2) How strong are the winds near the ground and higher up?
3) Where is the stationary front?
4) How warm will the temperatures be?

Highest humidity will likely be along and east of I-135
The list could go even longer, but for the sake of keeping this somewhat brief, we will stop there. So many factors to consider and that's what we will be looking at today and again Wednesday. Anyone east of I-135 will be in the cross hairs and once storms develop, they should move northeast. 

Beyond our severe threat Wednesday, another healthy storm system will push in from the west over the weekend. While it's unclear on the magnitude of severe weather and location, there is a pretty good signal from the computer models that we will have some solid chances for rain and storms beginning west Saturday and spreading east by Sunday. We need the rain and this weekend could be some of our best chances statewide that we've had in a LONG time.

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