Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Record warmth - crazy winds - next chance for moisture

courtesy Scott Jonker
As I write this blog entry this morning, I'm constantly reminding myself that it's FEBRUARY and not April or May. Like many of you, I can't believe we are going to see so many 80s on Thursday. It's the right setup for a HUGE warmup, with dry air in place, the jet stream back to the north of Kansas, and a ton of sunshine. I think we will have at least 10-12 record high temperatures tied or broken.

The danger on Thursday will be wind and fire. It looks like we could have a repeat of last week when the wind gusts were over 50 mph. Strongest wind speeds will be over central and eastern Kansas. It wouldn't be a surprise at all to see wind gusts approach 50, and with the dry grass and low humidity values, fires could get going and burn out of control quickly.

Some of you are asking about our next possible chance for moisture. The long range models are not indicating any big storms for right now. We could be looking at some light precipitation early next week in western Kansas, but it won't amount to very much. I do expect our weather to get more active heading into early March. We will have chances for rain and snow, but the way I see it right now is our chance for seeing additional Arctic blasts is quite low for Kansas and surrounding areas.


Mary Vandenburg said...

I've got flowers coming up thru my leaf mulch already!!! Way too early!!!! Had to put more leaves on them to keep them covered!

Coach Bates said...

Spiring sports in Kansas High School begins February 29. Often we get a blast of winter just as spring sports head outside. Will track and field be outside or will be be seeking shelter inside the first week of March in Goddard KS?

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