Monday, October 10, 2016

Look what's back in Kansas & very active pattern continues

We are moving into the middle of October and the weather pattern is quite active. It seems like every few days, a cold front shows up on the maps and we start talking about change, but that's not unusual as we continue to transition toward winter.

Drought monitor released October 4

Kansas has essentially been drought free (according the national drought monitor) since the middle of May. But last week, the latest drought monitor was released, indicating "abnormally dry" conditions have returned to the southwest. So many of the recent rain events have gone too far east to do western Kansas any good.

Back at the beginning of the month, I posted the image above which showed a very active pattern and a potential storm brewing in the Plains. We do have a couple of storm systems that will move our way, but none of them look overly intense. Even though the storms don't look that intense, the temperature changes will be BIG!

Thursday: FROST POSSIBLE EARLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN KANSAS! Then, a weak system is going to push in from the west, but moisture is limited and it's a fast mover. I expect a few showers, but it won't be anything huge or widespread. Rainfall amounts will likely be .25" or less.

Weekend/early next week:
We will likely see a rather big warming trend for the central Plains. I'm expecting that once we hit the weekend, most of Kansas will be looking at highs near 80 degrees and that should continue into the start of next week.

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