Severe weather in October isn't that unusual. If you take a look at the number of days with severe storms since 2000, it's actually somewhat comparable to the number of days we get in March. The season ramps up and peaks in late May/early June, and then it has to taper down, which it's doing right now.
Morning storms have departed, and now we watch and see how much clearing we get in advance of the approaching cold front. The latest storm outlook hasn't changed too much, still suggesting that central and south central Kansas will have the highest potential of seeing severe weather.
Our Future Track model continues to show a line of storms firing after 4 p.m. and moving east from there. I think this will quickly transition to a wind threat with some occasional hail too. By 10 or 11 p.m. tonight, we should have most of the storms out of our coverage area and into southeast Kansas.
Thursday: A strong surge of cool air will be coming south and running into some moisture over Kansas. We will once again see another chance for rain and storms Thursday afternoon/evening. Some of the rain will be heavy in spots, but the threat for severe storms is less likely.