Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Next chance for storms/tropics/La Nina watch

Welcome to Tuesday. We are in our final full week of August and we've heard so many wonderful comments about the weather lately. Most of the state is in good shape with moisture and without the torturous humidity, it's been nice to be outside.

We do have a front coming into the area again this week. It will arrive Wednesday, so expect the storm chance to increase. I don't think the setup is as favorable for the flooding rains that some had Friday evening. It was just incredible seeing 4-5 inches per hour with storms in south central Kansas Friday night. Most of the models are showing "scattered" storms, so one here and one there. Severe weather chances are low.

The front will be slow moving, so that's why we see the chances for some rain lingering into Thursday. However, the rain chances on Thursday are only for some areas of southern Kansas, and even then, it shouldn't be much.

Still looks like much cooler weather will be here for some Wednesday - everyone by Thursday.

We are just weeks away from the peak of hurricane season. It's beginning to get active now with Tropical Storm Gaston and Hermine could be developing soon. Both storms are rather far away from land right now. If one of these storms is going to impact land, it would be Hermine because Gaston is likely to stay out over open waters.

Last year, we spent a great deal of time talking about El Nino. This year as we head into fall, we are under "La Nina watch". Remember, El Nino and La Nina are not storms. It is a warming/cooling of the ocean water that influences the storm track. Take a look at the recent sea surface temperatures. 

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