Monday, December 5, 2016

Lots of cold - only a little snow coming

Our first full week of December will be a cold one and for those that want to see some snow, we should get that too. At the end of last week, I started posting some data showing that it didn't look like Kansas was going to see very much snow. After watching the model data through the weekend, we still believe that will be the case.

So here's what's coming for the week ahead:
Monday - Mild
Highs will still get into the 50s with sunshine. The cold front will come through later tonight, so temperatures will be going down into Tuesday and Wednesday.

Tuesday - Colder
Bitter cold is already organizing over western Canada and is ready to move south. We should still have some sunshine, but much chillier air will be arriving. Highs will be in the 30s/40s.
GFS Model

European Model

Tuesday Night-Wednesday- COLD

We still expect to see some snow during this time, but it's not going to amount to very much. In most cases, it will be an inch or less, but a few areas in northwest Kansas (where the snow starts first), could see up to 2 inches before the system pulls away. This is a fast moving system with limited moisture. Bottom line is that when it get this cold, it takes quite a bit of moisture to get heavier snows, and this system does NOT have it. Both computer models shown here indicate very light amounts, so there won't be much to shovel (if at all) when the system finally departs Wednesday evening.

We will be climbing out of the deep freeze late in the week as we get back to the 30s and 40s by Friday and the weekend. I'll have updates on this as the week continues.

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