The peak of severe weather season has passed, but it is still very much a time of year that we can have hail and wind producing storms. In fact, we are looking at a setup for Monday/Tuesday that will likely produce some severe storms in Kansas and surrounding states.
From a historical standpoint, we are in the bullseye for where severe storms normally develop at this time of year. As we move into the second half of June and early July, this bullseye will shift to the northern Plains.
Look at the summary of tornado and severe thunderstorm watches!! Hard to believe there are parts of Oklahoma, Missouri, and Arkansas that haven't even had one so far this year. The map with all of the blue indicates where all of the severe thunderstorm watches have been issued.
Next week, we expect rainfall to return to Kansas. The chances will include the entire state, but the least likely area to see rain will be in the southwest. Here are two possible solutions from the forecast models for early next week. Don't focus too much on the exact amounts, but this should give you an idea of what could be coming our way after the weekend.