November is on track to be one of the warmest ever recorded. Sound familiar? October was one of the warmest too, so this fall has been quite weird.
- Our average temperature (including Monday) is 55.4°F - 1st place is 1999 with an average temperature of 53.3°F
A very active weather pattern is unfolding now, but moisture and storm track will be keys to the forecast in the coming day and weeks.
Storm #1 - Tuesday
This is basically a dud. The storm is going to move right over Kansas, so the track doesn't work in our favor and the moisture is somewhat limited. Amounts will likely be under .25" for most areas. Some snow could fall from northeast Colorado to Nebraska, but with limited cold air, I'm not worried about slick roads around here.
Travel Weather Wednesday - looks great! We expect sunshine and dry conditions on roads around here.
Thanksgiving Day Storm - also expected to be a dud. This system will help generate wind and eventually drag in some cooler weather, but it's VERY unlikely to produce moisture.
Sunday (Nov. 27) - Another fast moving system is coming from the west with a cold front. We will need to watch this system as it has been showing signs of digging south and pulling in some moisture - so parts of central and eastern Kansas could be looking at some rain (unlikely to be snow)
Much colder air soon - Forecast models are latching on this idea that a big change in temperature is LIKELY around December 1st. One model is showing widespread cold with highs in the 30s. We are also looking at the chance most of Kansas could get some snow. We still don't know much about this storm yet because it hasn't formed. But you should be ready for a cold and potentially stormy start to December.