Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Two storms before Thanksgiving

Just a little over a week out from Thanksgiving and it's already a busy time of year. Weather is always important, but it becomes even more critical when you have travel plans and you're trying to figure out what to do, when to leave, etc. Some of you will remember the icy weather Kansas had last year around Thanksgiving. I remember sitting around the Thanksgiving table and having the power go out right AFTER the turkey came out of the oven. Great timing!

We have two storms to watch between now and the holiday.

Storm #1 - This is the system coming out of the west for the end of the week. It's going to be a major temperature changer, taking us from summer weather to winter in less than 24 hours. There's also going to be some snow nearby. Recent trends in the forecast models have been dropping the system farther south, but I don't expect it will be much more than a trace for far northwest Kansas (around Goodland and Colby). Farther north, winter storm and blizzard watches are already posted. If you have travel plans tomorrow or Friday that take you north of Kansas... watch out.

Tuesday storm - Nov. 22

Storm #2 - There's still some uncertainty in when this storm will develop and where it will go, but most (if not all) of the cold air will be locked up north. So if we do end up with a Thanksgiving week storm, I expect it will be a wet storm and not white. It will be chilly (highs in the 50s), but warm enough that there won't be any shoveling to do as it rolls on through. It should be a fairly fast moving system, so rain chances for Tuesday, but then beginning to dry out by Wednesday. There's a possibility we could see some 1/2" amounts, but it's still pretty early to say exactly how much different areas of the state will get.

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