Welcome to Monday and our first full week of spring. This will be an interesting week as we watch 2 different storms move across the Plains. Kansas has time and time again been on the edge of EVERYTHING this winter season, with so many storms either staying too far south or just passing north of us. The drought situation isn't terrible right now, but we need some of these spring storms to deliver moisture.
Arriving Wednesday/Wednesday night - tracking across northern Kansas will place the best chances for measurable moisture north of I-70. Most of this will be rain, but forecast models coming in this morning indicate that some 1-3" snow amounts could show up on grassy surfaces. Everyone will have wind and cooling temperatures by midweek.
Looks like we will have a storm coming through around Easter weekend. The timing and track isn't set right now because the storm hasn't formed yet, but it looks to come from the northwest (developing in SW Canada). Storms that approach from the northwest generally don't produce a lot of precipitation for Kansas. Unless this storm can dive into the southwest US, organize, and then push into the Plains, we won't get very much moisture out of this particular storm either. Latest trends suggest this storm could be a fast mover too and leave Kansas on the short end of the moisture. It will definitely be cold enough for some snow across western Kansas, but we don't know the track yet so we can't make any predictions on amounts.
Looking ahead to next week (week of March 28th) - potential is out there for another big storm to drop into the west. Could this be our first decent shot at severe thunderstorms in the Plains? Some forecast models are hinting at that, so be sure to check back for updates!