We are watching dry air in western Kansas that will be surging east throughout the day. When the dry air clashes with the warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, we expect there will be scattered storms popping up, especially east of I-135.
Take a look at the dew points in Kansas at noon. Remember, dew point is the best measure of how much moisture is in the air. When it comes to severe weather, we really need to have at least 50 degree dew points. Dew points that get into the 60s suggest you have more than enough moisture to generate severe storms. Highest dew points will reside over eastern Kansas and by 3 p.m., those numbers start dropping around Wichita. So we are pretty confident that storms will begin developing around 3 or 4 p.m., and it won't take long for the threat to push farther east. In fact, by 7 p.m., there's a good chance all of the weather will be out of our viewing area and into far eastern Kansas.
Future radar has the storms developing around 3/4 p.m. They will move east at roughly 30-40 mph. Anybody across eastern Kansas should be prepared for severe storms today. It's springtime in Kansas, right?