Friday, March 24, 2017

Just the beginning

It was very exciting to see rain back in western Kansas Thursday evening. But as expected, the amounts maybe were lower than you were hoping and still others didn't get a drop. The severe weather was rather spotty, but we did have one wind report of 81 mph winds near Garden City. It caused some tree damage and power outages.

Setup for today - Friday

Still a chance for some rain today - 
Our first in a series of storms will be right over Kansas today, which means we might be able to fire off some scattered rain and storms. Rain in western Kansas will be moving south, while rain in the eastern half of the state will go north (that's the counter-clockwise spin around a low)

2nd storm on Sunday - 
The next system will be arriving later in the weekend. This isn't shaping up to be a strong storm system, but it does bring another opportunity for some showers and a couple of storms. I don't expect severe weather, but a rouge strong storm can't be ruled out.

3rd (and maybe most promising) storm - next week:
A slow moving storm system will slide into the central and southern Plains during the Tuesday - Thursday time frame. It will ingest some rich Gulf of Mexico moisture and we could and should see some widespread rains. It's been months since we've seen this setup (maybe since the ice storm back in mid January), but fingers crossed that this will work out in our favor. Forecast models are showing some 1-2"+ amounts by the end of next week. I'll post both models here so you can look for yourself. Don't focus too much on exact numbers, but the overall idea here is that we could have drought easing rains in the Plains next week.
European model
GFS Model

Have a great weekend everyone!

No comments:

Blog History