Friday, April 28, 2017

Weekend storm - are we about to set records?

It's finally Friday and the weekend is almost here. Our next storm is just hours away and this one impacts everyone in Kansas. Most of you reading this will get rain, but then there's the wintry side that's going to create some headaches.

Are we about to set a record for latest snowfall?
Goodland had measurable snow on May 19th back in 1915. And I think some of you will be able to recall a dusting of snow even in early May. Depending on how the storm tracks, some places might threaten records for most significant snow this late in the season.

Rainfall records:
Assuming 2 inches of moisture over the weekend, most of the state will at least move into the top 10 wettest Aprils on record. Take a look:

  • Wichita Now: 5.64" + 2.00" = 7.64" (would be the 3rd wettest)
  • Salina Now: 2.47" + 2.00" = 4.47" (would be 7th wettest)
  • Dodge City Now: 4.51" + 2.00"= 6.51" (would be 2nd wettest)
  • Goodland Now: 1.54" + 2.00"= 3.54" (would be 9th wettest)
How much rain this weekend:
Forecast models are still pretty consistent on about 2 inches for most of the state. As is the case in any event, some get more and others less. Don't focus too much on the exact numbers for each location, but the overall idea is that we will have widespread rains and some will be heavy. Some of the moisture in western Kansas will be snow too.
Snow forecast:
Western Kansas will get some snow both Saturday AND Sunday morning. The concern is that a heavy wet snow on trees NOW with leaves could create a lot of extra weight. And with wind coming with the snow, it's possible we could see some tree damage. This will be a heavy, wet snow with a lot of moisture content. Some of the flakes will melt as they hit the ground, but on grassy areas, we could see snow sticking.

The forecast isn't what most you would order up for a weekend, but on the bright side, at least we don't have to worry about hail, wind, tornadoes, etc. We get pretty lucky with this April storm.

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