Tuesday, May 6, 2014

Hot weather and fingers crossed for rain

Welcome to July!! Well, not really but it will feel like it today. Record highs are expected all over the place, and some of them will be broken by 5 or 10 degrees. This is very unusual for May. It's a time of year we normally talk about severe storms, but instead, we are cautioning you about heat. I expect we will see records broken in Wichita, Salina, Dodge City, and Medicine Lodge at the very least, and there will probably be a few more by the end of the day. Rainfall deficits continue to grow. Most of the state should have 7 or 8 inches of moisture by now, but instead, we have just barely reached 2 or 3 in most areas (and even less than that out west)

Dry line punches into central KS. Any storm that develops will be very isolated

Our first chance for an isolated storm will come Wednesday evening, but as I mentioned yesterday, because there is some very warm air above us, that may prevent storms from forming altogether. Only those areas along I-135 have the chance of seeing a storm or two. Thursday morning will bring a chance for rain to the Flint Hills (well ahead of the cold front that will be in western Kansas). Then we will watch Thursday afternoon for more storms to fire up along the cold front. But just like so many systems already this spring, the higher amounts of moisture will go east of our area. It is so frustrating right now in Kansas weather to watch all of this rain go around us, but we still hold out hope. Some of the evening storms Thursday may contains some hail and wind, but the severe threat should remain somewhat isolated.

Front at 9:30 a.m. Thursday (best rain chance east)
9 p.m. Thursday, cold front developing more storms. Best chance from Salina to Medicine Lodge

Time to go find my mom a Mother's Day card. If I could make it rain Sunday, I think she'd be satisfied with that as her Mother's Day gift this year.

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