A cold front will be slowing down across central and northeast Kansas into the late afternoon and evening hours. There will be a chance for some evening thunderstorms, mainly along and southeast of a line from Medicine Lodge to Salina to Manhattan. There is a potential for some hail and wind with stronger storms, but this doesn't look like a widespread severe weather event. Most of the storms will be weakening shortly after sunset.
Monday:
The weather looks pretty nice with less wind and slightly cooler temperatures.
Tuesday:
Chances for severe weather will increase, especially for areas of central and eastern Kansas. This day has a higher chance for large hail and some isolated tornadoes. There are several ingredients that meteorologists have to consider when forecasting severe storms, and if even one of them is missing, it can really change the forecast. We are still several days away and changes are possible, but the storm system approaching from the west is quite strong. There will be much higher humidity in place, stronger winds, and a lot of warm air that will contribute to the increased chance for severe storms. The most likely areas to experience severe storms will be from Salina to Wichita to Oklahoma City and east. If the storm system slows down or speeds up, this threat can shift around. Updates will be coming, but be prepared for a stormy week across the Plains.
There will be another chance for strong to severe storms at the end of next week too. Looking at Friday/Saturday for the threat to return. Another big system will be kicking out of the southwest and that one will have to be watched closely too.
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